基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价

雷兴国; 王庆锋; 李中

doi:10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20181087

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基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价

过程安全 | 更新时间：2026-07-24

- 基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价
- Multi-level grey dynamic evaluation of external corrosion of pipelines based on cooperative game
- 化工学报 2019年70卷第6期页码：2386-2396
- 作者机构：
  
  北京化工大学机电工程学院，北京 100029
- 作者简介：
  
  雷兴国（1994—），男，硕士研究生，leixingguobuct@163.com
  王庆锋（1972—），男，博士，副研究员，wangqf2422@163.com
- 基金信息：
  
  国家高技术研究发展计划项目(2014AA041806);国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFF0203305);中国石油科技创新基金项目(2015D-5006-0606)
- DOI：10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20181087
  中图分类号： TG 172
- 收稿：2018-09-27，
  
  修回：2019-01-27，
  
  网络首发：2020-06-15，
  
  纸质出版：2019-06-05
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
雷兴国, 王庆锋, 李中. 基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价[J]. 化工学报, 2019, 70(6): 2386-2396

LEI Xingguo, WANG Qingfeng, LI Zhong. Multi-level grey dynamic evaluation of external corrosion of pipelines based on cooperative game[J]. CIESC Journal, 2019, 70(6): 2386-2396
雷兴国, 王庆锋, 李中. 基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价[J]. 化工学报, 2019, 70(6): 2386-2396 DOI： 10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20181087.

LEI Xingguo, WANG Qingfeng, LI Zhong. Multi-level grey dynamic evaluation of external corrosion of pipelines based on cooperative game[J]. CIESC Journal, 2019, 70(6): 2386-2396 DOI： 10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20181087.

摘要

对管道进行外腐蚀评价可以为管道检维修方案的优化提供依据。考虑到埋地管道外腐蚀影响因素的复杂性、不确定性和时效性，将灰关联分析法引入管道安全评价领域，提出了一种基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价方法。首先建立包含土壤腐蚀性、防腐层性能、阴极保护有效性和杂散电流干扰强度4个方面的腐蚀综合评价指标体系，再基于群决策的改进层次分析法确定指标主观权重，综合实时检测客观数据信息得到指标客观权重，两种权重通过基于合作博弈的组合赋权确定指标组合权重，在此基础上构建动态的多层次灰色评价方法模型。以某地区埋地管道检测数据验证了所建方法和模型的有效性和合理性。

Abstract

The external corrosion evaluation of the pipeline can provide a basis for the optimization of the pipeline inspection and maintenance program. Considering the complexity and uncertainty and timeliness of factors of external corrosion of buried pipelines

the grey relational analysis method was introduced to pipeline corrosion evaluation field

so as to propose a multi-level grey dynamic evaluation of external corrosion of pipelines based on cooperative game. Firstly

an evaluation index system of external corrosion of pipelines

in which the soil corrosion

external coating performance

cathodic protection system and stray current interference were included

was established. The subjective weights of the indexes obtained from expert qualitative analysis were quantified by applying improved analytic hierarchy process based on group decision-making. The objective weights of indexes were obtained by detecting real-time data information. After getting the two weights

the synthetic weight of each index was obtained by cooperative game. The dynamic multi-level grey evaluation was established which can be used to determining the risk grade of external corrosion of buried pipelines to be measured. The performance of the proposed method was tested on the practical example about corroded buried pipeline in a certain area. The effectiveness and reasonableness of the constructed model was validated.

关键词

Keywords

references

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