ZHANG Hao, LIU Zhenjuan, LI Hongguang, et al. Process time series prediction based on application of correlated process variables to CNN time delayed analyses[J]. CIESC Journal, 2017, (9): 3501-3510.
DOI:
ZHANG Hao, LIU Zhenjuan, LI Hongguang, et al. Process time series prediction based on application of correlated process variables to CNN time delayed analyses[J]. CIESC Journal, 2017, (9): 3501-3510.DOI: 10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20170197.
Process time series prediction based on application of correlated process variables to CNN time delayed analyses
It is often difficult to establish models for accurate time series prediction
as a result of time delay
nonlinearity
and multi-variable coupling characteristics in production processes. A time series prediction method was proposed by applying correlated process variables to time delayed analysis of convolutional neural network (CNN). First
appropriate correlated variables were selected and time series were analyzed between these variables and outputs. Then
results of time series analysis were employed to determine length of temporal time windows of associated variables. Finally
appropriate CNN models were established for time series prediction. Experimental results of a reaction distillation process showed good accuracy in time series prediction of long time frame and large time-delay processes.